Aug 03

David Flaherty CEO of Magellan Strategies Talks About Proposition HH

Posted on August 3, 2023 by thetabor

David Flaherty is CEO of Magellan Strategies, a CO-based public opinion polling and survey research firm. He recently did an interesting poll about Proposition HH, a measure on this November’s ballot which will slightly lower property tax rates while all but eliminating (over several years) TABOR refunds. It’s a disgusting and cynical ploy which I will work hard to defeat. The poll’s findings are interesting: in short, people like HH until they understand it. The implications are obvious.

Colorado Proposition HH Opinion Survey | Magellan Strategies

Colorado Proposition HH poll shows mixed support, opposition (denverpost.com)

I also want to know: How do pollsters inform respondents about an issue, to test uninformed vs informed, without injecting bias into the question?

Click the following link to hear a recording of the show:

#DontBeFooled
#ItsYourMoneyNotTheirs
#VoteNoOnPropHH
#TABOR

Aug 03

Voters Polled On Proposition HH

Posted on August 3, 2023 by thetabor

It’s important to educate the voter on Prop HH. 44% of people will vote against it if they know enough about it.

2 key takeaways that every voter should know:

Prop HH will take away your TABOR tax refund.
Local governments will be able to keep money owed to you without asking your permission.

Here are the results of Magellan’s Polling survey: https://magellanstrategies.com/proposition-hh-survey/

And the Polling presentation: https://magellanstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Colorado-Proposition-HH-Voter-Opinion-Survey-Presentation-071223.pdf

Here are some stats at a glance:

Prop HH Familiarity

41% of total voters are unfamiliar with the proposal
42% of men are not familiar at all with the proposal
41% of women are not familiar at all with the proposal
48% of Democrat voters are not familiar at all with the proposal
38% of Unaffiliated voters are not familiar at all with the proposal
38% of Republicans are not familiar all with the proposal
47% of Latinos are not familiar at all with the proposal
44% of Blacks are not familiar at all with the proposal

Uninformed Ballot (of people who don’t understand what HH will do).

68% of Democrat voters approve
50% of Unaffiliated voters approve
44% of Republican voters approve

Losing TABOR refunds and letting the state retain the money

26% of Democrats voters reject
55% of Unaffiliated voters reject
75% of Republican voters reject
44% of Latino voters reject
52% of Black voters reject

Participatory Taxation *

61% of men reject the proposal
54% of women reject the proposal
52% of voters 18 -34 reject the proposal
63% of voters 35 – 44 reject the proposal
44% of Democrat voters reject the proposal
61% of Unaffiliated voters reject the proposal
67% of Republicans reject the proposal
54% of Hispanic voters reject the proposal
69% of Black voters reject the proposal

* If Prop HH is approved, a new process called “Participatory Taxation” or “Truth in

Taxation” would be created for local governments to consider. This process would allow a

majority of local government elected officials to vote to retain property tax revenue that

would otherwise be refunded to taxpayers. To clarify, elected officials, rather than voters,

would decide to keep property tax revenue.

#DontBeFooled
#ItsYourMoneyNotTheirs
#VoteNoOnPropHH
#TABOR

Jul 13

Protecting Colorado Taxpayers and Preserving TABOR: Jonathan Williams on American Radio Journal

Posted on July 13, 2023 by thetabor

ALEC Executive Vice President of Policy and Chief Economist Jonathan Williams discusses an upcoming Colorado ballot measure that would expand government spending and weaken Colorado Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights (TABOR), the nation’s strongest taxpayer protection.

The progressive push to undermine common sense checks on government spending is never-ending. It’s evidenced recently by the debate over the federal debt limit in Washington DC. The latest push is happening in Colorado as progressives are once again attempting to undermine the taxpayers’ Bill of Rights or TABOR, which is the gold standard of a state constitutional limit on overspending and overtaxing. It was adopted by voters as a state constitutional amendment back in 1992. It has helped restrain the growth of government and return billions of dollars to Colorado taxpayers.

However, the upcoming ballot measure in Colorado if approved, would gut TABOR in exchange for small, short-term cuts to property tax. Known as Proposition HH, this proposal tempts voters with the allure of a property tax cut with its real purpose is to clearly to water down TABOR’s tax and spending limits. My friend Ben Murray, Director of fiscal policy at the Independence Institute, described the package as a boondoggle of a property tax plan. The attacks on TABOR aren’t new. The property tax cut quote unquote, is the only latest gimmick to attempt to unleash the leviathan of big government on hardworking Coloradoans.

As the ALEC team explained in the National Review on the recent 30th anniversary of TABOR, TABOR has seen no shortage of progressive attacks which serves as an acknowledgement of the danger it presents to those that would like no constraints on the government’s ability to grow. Though all states except Bernie Sanders of Vermont have some sort of a balanced budget requirements in state law or their constitution, most don’t have robust protections such as that what TABOR offers.

https://alec.org/article/protecting-colorado-taxpayers-and-preserving-tabor-jonathan-williams-on-american-radio-journal/

Jul 12

Proposition HH Panel Discussion On Wednesday, August 2

Posted on July 12, 2023 by thetabor

Hear Ben Murrey, Kristi Burton Brown, Douglas County Assessor Toby Damisch and Treasurer Dave Gill take questions from Kim Monson on Property Taxes, TABOR, mill rates, and Assessed values.

Jun 20

Coloradans can expect another TABOR windfall. How much depends on voters in November

Posted on June 20, 2023 by thetabor

Coloradans can expect another TABOR windfall. How much depends on voters in November

Story by Nick Coltrain, The Denver Post • 5h ago

Gov. Jared Polis signed SB23-303, Reduce Property Taxes and Voter-approved Revenue Change and SB23-304, Property Tax Valuation in front of the home of Joe Lloyd Medina, 78, in Commerce City on Wednesday, May 24, 2023.© Hyoung Chang/The Denver Post/TNS

Colorado economic forecasters predict another tax refund windfall next spring — though how Coloradans receive the excess collections depends on how they vote this November.

Forecasters for both the legislative and executive branches expect tax collections subject to Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights, or TABOR, caps to exceed $3.3 billion. That would be near the prior year’s record that lawmakers refunded through direct checks last fall. Following year forecasts still show excess collections, though not nearly as eye-popping.

Opponents are arguing its passage would lead to a long-term vacuuming of tax dollars that would otherwise be returned to taxpayers. Supporters, including Gov. Jared Polis and many lawmakers, argue the measure is necessary to backfill local governments and services whole while saving property owners hundreds of dollars a year in higher taxes driven by skyrocketing property values.

As an additional carrot, lawmakers attached a one-year, flat TABOR refund to the proposal passing. Economic forecasters with the Governor’s Office of State Planning and Budgeting predict individual taxpayers would receive $873 per filer — if HH passes. Forecasters for the legislative branch, who estimate a slightly lower breach of the TABOR cap, predict it would be about $854.

If Proposition HH doesn’t pass, the state would revert to the six-tier refund mechanism that gives lower-income taxpayers lower refund amounts, and higher-income taxpayers higher refunds, under the philosophy that higher-income taxpayers paid more into the overcollected taxes.

Continue reading →

Jun 20

Coloradans have voted on 36 TABOR-related ballot measures since 1993, rejecting 69% of them

Posted on June 20, 2023 by thetabor

Coloradans have voted on 36 TABOR-related ballot measures since 1993, rejecting 69% of them

By Jackie Mitchell

In Ballot measures

June 19, 2023 at 9:57 PM

Coloradans have decided on 36 statewide ballot measures that were designed to increase revenue for the state, which required voter approval under TABOR. Of the 36 measures, 11 (30.56%) were approved and 25 (69.44%) were defeated.

Colorado’s Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights (TABOR), adopted in 1992, was designed to require statewide voter approval of all new taxes, tax rate increases, extensions of expiring taxes, mill levy increases, valuation for property assessment increases, or tax policy changes resulting in increased tax revenue.

Of the 36 measures, 17 were referred to the ballot by the state legislature and 19 were placed on the ballot through citizen initiative petitions. Of the 11 approved measures, 10 were referred to the ballot by the state legislature and one was a citizen initiative.

Highlights:

14 of the measures were designed to increase a tax. Of the 14 measures, two were approved and 12 were defeated. In 2004, voters approved an initiative to increase the tobacco tax to fund educational and healthcare programs. In 2020, voters approved a measure placed on the ballot by the state legislature to increase tobacco taxes and create a tax on nicotine products to fund health and education programs.

Continue reading →

Jun 20

TABOR and the 2023 legislative session

Posted on June 20, 2023 by thetabor

TABOR and the 2023 legislative session

We follow the bills as best we can, but do not rate them, relying instead on the excellent and thorough Colorado Union of Taxpayer’s work and that done by others, such as the Republican Liberty Caucus. There were a few good ideas and plenty of bad ones, but we focused only on those that affect TABOR.

The General Assembly pretty much left the Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights alone until the final week of the legislative session. Then, legislators dropped a big negative on Colorado with a bill to place Proposition HH on the ballot this fall.

The entire idea is bad. It is very complex and convoluted legislation that proponents tout as lowering your property taxes. It fails. The Gallagher Amendment was repealed a couple years back. That action removed the method to tamp down increases in residential property taxes. With property taxes threatened to soar next year, Proposition HH (Senate Bill 23-303) takes money owed back to the taxpayer to reduce some (perhaps half) of the property tax increase. It literally uses a big tax increase by taking your TABOR rebates in order to pay down your property tax increases! Dastardly. Sneaky. Terrible.

What is your TABOR Committee doing about it? We brought together like-minded organizations to protect TABOR by defeating this crumby, lose-lose measure, in which only the government benefits. The new coalition will function as a clearinghouse and share ideas and efforts, although no strong core has materialized as yet. Your TABOR Committee already filed to set up a statewide issue committee (a legal necessity to conform to election requirements). We funded it with seed money and secured a matching donation.

Are you torqued off yet?

Please join the fight by volunteering. Let your interest be known by emailing info@TheTaborCommittee.com or calling 303-747-7460. Please also donate to our efforts by sending a check to the TABOR Coalition at 720 Kipling, Suite 12, Lakewood 80215.

Proposition HH has more pieces to it – a hike in the State revenue and spending limitation that allows government to grow faster than the private sector and a provision about the senior exemption. One of our allies filed a lawsuit because the measure violates the single-subject rule. It has been joined by a dozen local governments!

A different measure on the fall ballot asks voters to allow the State to keep higher marijuana taxes. A provision in TABOR requires proposed tax increases to estimate the amount to be raised. In order to keep governments from monkeying with the estimate, any overage must be returned and the rate adjusted downward, unless the taxpayers in a second vote allow the higher receipts.

There was another anti-TABOR bill that adjusts some definitions on insurance premiums taxes. TABOR does not allow arguments that any higher taxes are too little to care about (de minimis). But, in a lawsuit several years ago filed by the TABOR Foundation (our sister organization), the Colorado Supreme Court errantly imposed a de minimis provision. We cannot fight the precedent set then, and the amount this year truly is small – less than $7,000.